On July 14, the President of the United States Donald Trump launched a sea change against Ukraine from the point of view of the Russian war. Trump announced that they would send significant additional air protection units to Ukraine, whose cities are now subject to an average attack of more than 100 Russian drones and missiles. The White House’s leakage also claims that Trump had inquired with Ukrainian President Volodium Zelensky, which objectionable weapon key is needed to kill Moscow directly.
Trump has threatened his clear approval till date and proposed 100 per cent “secondary rate” on the countries of Russian oil purchases, if the Kremlin September does not agree to the war in the days till September, then Trump’s strict discussion has been much less than moving dial. Russian officials have laughed because of their claims about beating Moscow. Air defense delivery can reduce the loss of Putin’s air attack, but distributing them by Trump’s number will take many months.
Trump’s risk has not been shifted to the market, but such restrictions will try to block the world’s third largest oil manufacturer.
Trump has changed his view of Russia, however, should be surprised. Despite the obvious personal affinity with Trump’s Russian President Vladimir Putin about Ukraine and Russia, his views on the US’s main strategic interests are fundamentally opposed to Putin.
Trump wants to export more American natural gas; This is what Putin wants to do it with Russian gas, which has lost its European pipeline market. Trump takes care of Greenland because in the future recognizes the importance of Arctic shipping ways, and for Russia, its competitive Arctic shipping route is an important factor in maintaining Chinese support. Putin wants maximum seizure of Ukraine’s mineral resources for Russia; Trump wants to do the same for Washington.
Failing the inauguration of his inauguration of the conflict in a day, he now acknowledged that he was an exaggeration, Trump had a long-lasting animosity about Zelensky-the legacy of Trimp’s first impeachment scandal, which reduced the blackmail on Zelensky’s biton campaign.
According to Trump, if it is diligently acknowledged that Putin did not talk with good faith. There was no progress between Kiev and Moscow in May and June, both sides tried to satisfy Trump and conquer them in their positions.
Trump may have been aware of the fact that Putin raised his demands in these negotiations. He not only urged the possession of the southern and East Ukrainian territories, but even if he was never completely occupied, he added that Russia would need a “buffer zone” in North Ukraine.
The change in Trump’s point of view has so far had a muted effect for two reasons. First, because its risk of Russian oil prices is not reliable itself. The possibility of increasing the high prices of Trump oil or the increase in them is very careful. After the end of June on Iran, he publicly decided on the subsequent spike in the oil market.
But it is also suspected that the risk of a secondary rate will work. In the end of March, Trump first used a similar threat to target the export of Venezuela oil, and when Venezuela’s exports declined, Beijing expanded the purchase. Especially in the middle of his own rate war with Trump, who has threatened him for more than 100 percent, Russia’s largest oil buyer Beijing is unlikely to have a similar danger on Russian production.
In addition, Trump is likely to be delayed in approving the Senate Bill, which imposes additional restrictions on Russia due to his threat to play in time, although 100 members of the chamber have co-sponsored it. Trump has been shocked at the topic of the Republican Party’s Senate and the House leadership, so that Trump is in danger, which demands almost-service rights and honors his party’s policies.
However, Trump has agreed to be more public accepting the prices of Kiev’s support – which, despite his saying, despite the fact that Trump was more large than the United States before the second term begins – the US equipment technology will continue to resist or replace Kiev resistance. And it will take time to distribute new weapons to Ukraine and train its troops to use them.
Trump will also have to change his attitude. The United States cannot achieve the increasing economic pressure on Russia, which forced Putin to treat Putin seriously. Washington makes it difficult to achieve while placing spars with his friends and partners.
In the context of additional restrictions on Russian oil, Trump is not very likely to be sure to go to Russia, but such restrictions may change India’s view of India. New Delhi has passed away before being a negligent buyer of Russian oil, before its second largest invasion of the market, and 40 percent of India’s imports have come from Russia.
India’s Petroleum Minister Hardipsingh Puri mentioned last week that the country would not change its attitude. He emphasized that New Delhi has followed the previous restrictions, in which the Biden administration has worked together with the G7 allies in 2022 to keep the Russian oil flow together with the G7 allies. They were also careful about the market disruption, because today, Trump’s Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen had clearly supported the structure as a way to secure oil “bargains” for India and other developing markets.
But the ministers noted that if an international agreement on moving Russian oil purchase, New Delhi could change its view.
If Trump wants his threat against Moscow, he would have to accept a multi -faceted approach.
Some steps are easy to do. Trump’s administration has so far resisted additional approval, Brussels and Westminster have targeted Russia’s “shadow fleet” whose purpose is engineering and pricing caps, and engineering proposals for the new approval proposal, with the purpose of reducing oil prices for reducing oil prices. The approval packages of two European unions have been agreed in the last six months, the second on July 18 and Trump should match their solutions rapidly.
If Europe can be guaranteed to support secondary rates or other approval on Russian oil buyers, it is also more likely to be effective.
In addition, Trump can target Russia’s additional liquid Natural gas (LNG) exports to the Blacklisting Novtec, its key LNG exporters. Europe is still not ready to go so far, instead trying to find only one stage of its purchase by the end of next year. But since the LNG tankers market is much smaller than the oil market, it is very difficult to avoid the US’s earlier approval on Russian LNG projects.
Russia’s economy is finally struggling under Putin’s war and all the restrictions he brought to his country in the answer to his attack. Russian banks are discussing the terms of the State Bellout.
But during these pains, Russia claims that for the first time in the Dnipropatroves region of Ukraine, a city has been occupied – Kiev rejects and which is not one. Trump can have even more significant consequences during the war by reversing the resistance to the Ukrainian attacks on the energy property of Kremlin.
Trump may have announced a new perspective in Russia, but whether he just went beyond the rhetoric will depend on his desire to work with the partner and allies, and will confess the price of such pressure.
The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and it is not necessary to reflect al -Jazir’s editorial role.
