Washington, DC – The United States President Donald Trump is trying to make a high-goal trick Bombing Iran And then trying to quickly reduce the tension, analysts told Al Jazira.
But to see if a clean out of Washington can navigate Deadly imrogioWhich has the ability to emerge in a large regional conflict.
Even though Trump has avoided widespread war, analysts say that there are disturbing questions on how beneficial US military intervention was.
On Sunday, the United States entered Israel in the military campaign against Iran and sent B -2 Stealth aircraft to bomb three nuclear seats in the country.
Trump has set up a military action as part of Washington’s long -term objective to prevent Tehran from creating nuclear. But the bombing tried to revenge, Iran launched US missiles Al -Ideid on the base In the Qatar on Monday.
Have been Trump since then Declared The warship between all parties and claimed that he was able to “stop the war.” He Credit Bomb blast by bringing “everyone together”.
But Media Outlets have questioned whether Trump succeeded in destroying Trump Iran’s nuclear facilities. And Trump has condemned both Iran and Israel for the initial violations of the ceasefire.
Trump told reporters on the White House’s lawn on Tuesday, “As soon as we did the agreement (Israel), the bomb was burdened.
“We have basically two countries who are fighting so long and so hard that they do not know what they know what they are doing.”
Retardation
In fact The first hour of rocky Following the announcement of the war, Israeli and Iranian leader Trump have fallen in line with messaging for the peace of Trump.
After the US President’s appeal, the office of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his country would discourage his country from the next attack. His office said that Israel had “achieved all the targets of war”.
In the meantime, Iran’s president Masood Peshesian welcomed the “heroic resistance” of his country. He said that Iran would respect the war and try to protect his interest through diplomacy.
But experts have warned that the discussion of peace and diplomacy may hide more challenges further.
Executive Vice President of the Quency Institute, Think Tank, told Al Jazir that he has shown his growing public disappointment among the long -term US allies in Israel by harsh words for Trump’s latest attack.
They also indicate that the US with the war with Iran of Israel is probably more difficult.
“I think Israel does not want the end of the battle, and I think that Trump has begun to recognize the interests of the United States and Israel,” Parsi told Al Jazia.
Israeli officials have repeatedly indicated that the objective of their military action against Iran is aimed at making a widespread rule, Trump had approved last week, but since then it was rejected.
On Tuesday, Israeli Army Chief of Staff, Isle Zamir issued a statement to the media that Israel had “concluded an important chapter, but the campaign against Iran was not over”.
According to Parsi, Trump can change this approach. However, Parsi believes that Trump has made more preparations to say “no” to Israel than many of his presidential posts.
“But Trump could not maintain a ‘effective way’, Parsi said that the US president’s warning on the war on the Gaza of the United States.
“He pressured the Israeli on the battlefield in Gaza, but then he tried again and allowed Netanyahu to get out of the war and never allowed him to go in two phases of the agreement.
Nevertheless, Parsi states that Trump’s commitment – later withdrawn – the US military forces has shown the “one remarkable agility” in the ability to withdraw from a foreign struggle. At the beginning of this year, for example, Trump entered a 45-day air attack against the Yemen-based hey armed group, but by May, it was Unveiled??
The risk of ‘quagmire’
For his part, Iran has been seen as eager to find Off-ramp Get out of the conflict. Many analysts told Al Jaizira that Tehran would be troubled to avoid any action that the United States could return to battle.
The United States and Iran were in the discussion to measure Tehran’s nuclear program. But on June 13, the initial attack in Israel had fallen from the negotiations.
For international policy, the Non -resident co -operative in the Nanapa Profit Center, Neru Mortzavi, said that Iran is still free to return to the negotiation table.
The country has refused to detect nuclear weapons, and instead, it has created its efforts to develop civilian energy infrastructure.
“Iran wants to take a civilian nuclear program,” Morazvi told Al Jazir. “And I think, if Trump accepts it, there is a strong way and possibility of the agreement.”
Trump, however, is unclear what can accept. He Description In Iran, the United States’ attack, in a series of statements that do not differed in nuclear prosperity for civilian energy or weapons due to the destruction of “all nuclear facilities and capabilities”.
It also disagreed with the classified report leaked to the US media, showing that the Iran’s nuclear program has been damaged but it has not been destroyed – and can be re -built in a few months.
Trump said, “Iran will not recreate their nuclear facilities.” Written In a message on Tuesday.
Nevertheless, Mortzavi believes that if Trump takes the maximum position again and opposes all uranium prosperity, Iran will have no choice but to return to negotiations.
“They might be able to meet somewhere in half way,” Mortzavi told the US and Iran. She further said that a possible compromise is the “consortium” of regional countries that will observe the civil nuclear program.
“The option of military conflict and war is going to be destructive only for many citizens,” she explained, “And possibly transformed into swamps like Iraq or Afghanistan”.
Assistant Professor Sina Azodi, Assistant Professor of Middle East of George Washington University, pointed to Trump’s warning Declaration On Monday, any renewal negotiations were hinted at his point of view.
Trump started his statement by writing “Congratulations to everyone.” Then he “God will bless Israel, God will bless Iran, God will bless the Middle East, God will bless the United States and God bless the world.”
Azodi said that the message was given to Iran as Israel – this message was unprecedented by the President of the United States from the Iranian Revolution of 1979. Trump appeared to have imposed a “harmonious” tone.
That feeling was also reflected on the financial front. On Tuesday, Trump said that even after US restrictions, China could buy oil from Iran, otherwise such trade would be limited.
Many analysts also interpreted the officials of Tehran as Trump’s resolution of the conflict.
“Trump users military power, showing strength and then quickly ended the struggle,” Azodi told Al Jazir.
“He certainly does not want a widespread conflict in the region, because then he is likely to adopt more military intervention.”
With the next military participation, analysts say that tension in the bottom of Trump can increase, as many of its “America” followers oppose foreign military action.
Some have guessed that he was allowed by Trump’s Outside approach Divide the differenceThe Republican Party is satisfied with the war hacks that harass those who do not agree with foreign intervention.
“But looking at his style, it is impossible to know what comes next,” Azodi said. “One day, he is in good shape. One day, he is arguing and angry.”
Long -term success?
Whether Trump will continue to keep your mind for peace after Sunday attacks Remains unclear??
US Presidents have been defensive, as journalists have questioned the effectiveness of the US attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities like Fordos.
Trump told reporters on Tuesday, “That place is in the rock. That place has been demolished.”
He appealed to news outlets to apologize to the mission’s success. “It’s all fake news,” he said. “Those pilots hit their goals. The target was destroyed.”
Azodi noted that the US end was less successful than the Trump administration claimed. Evidence has revealed that Iran has moved most of its uranium reserves in the leading of the attack.
What is obvious, Azado said that the United States violated international law to facilitate facilities under the Safguards of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
This allows Iran to do a good job of withdrawing from a contract on non -prolyification of nuclear weapons (NPT), and the international responsibilities of limiting any weapon development.
“In the short term, yes, Trump can come up, and the truth can boast about social (US strikes) and say that they ‘destroyed the Iranian nuclear program’,” Azodi said.
“But for a long time, we cannot bombs in knowledge. Iran’s fisher content seems to be alive. And now the Iranian people have a lot to withdraw from the NPT.”
This means “it will be impossible to examine their nuclear program”.
