Like Donald Trump Huddles to the Master of the Situation of the White House weighed if Israel joined the striking Iran, the US President also wondered how to divert the United States.
The Supreme Leader of Iran Ayatollah Ayatollah is Khamenei warned Washington to “unreserved damage” if the US includes Israeli war in Islamic Republic.
That can include direct attacks on US forces or diplomatic missions in the Middle East, Cyber attacks, the largest energy officers of the entire US, the largest energy officers of the US, the National National Security Officials.
“Trump is likely to hear the list of options open to Ayatollah: We are attacked by Saudi Allies and the Special Repression for Iran and Venezuela at the first Trump administration.
A third choice for IranAnd Abram said, “It is close” the tight hormuz, the narrow waterway where a third of Seaborne Crude passes every day. That “(lift) in the world’s oil prices”, he said.
Since rushing back to Washington from G7 Summit in Canada on Monday night, Trumpet His top intelligence, security and defense counselors met twice in the state of condition, intelligence in President’s President of the West House’s West West. He is due to a third meeting on Thursday. A decision has not been done if the US fully engaged in the war.
On Wednesday, six days after Israel launched Iranian attack, Trump said next week would be “great” to determine the course of new conflict – and if the US was large “in the US participation.
“I have ideas on what to do, but I haven’t done an end, I want to make a final decision for a second before it needs to … because the changes in office.
As he speaks, US military assets, including a new plane carrier group, toward the Middle East.
But Iran is now “ready” for a countertrike against the US, with “kinds of ballistic missiles, American drones and ships, former Air Force Secretary Kendall.
That doesn’t mean to do it right away, Kendall said. It will be “an escalation question” for the Iranians, he added, and “a calculation of what further attacks are when they respond” in the US.
The US has about 40,000 troops and military personnel in the Middle East, according to the US defense officer. It works eight permanent bases in the region, in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE. It also has a presence of 11 other military sites, including Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Syria.
The largest US base is Al Udeid Air based on Qatar, the region’s trunk for Central Command, responsible for military operations throughout the east. Home bases are about 10,000 US troops. Another 13,500 or more troops are in Kuwait, while in addition to 9,000 people live in the US Naval based on Bahrain.
Iran can target sites and bases in UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Kuwait, Kendall said. These are the goods of aerial defenses, but are inside Iran than Israel, which means lower missiles can be used and do not have any time of warning.
“They’re always in a reasonable alert set because of potential attacks, but I’ll think (this) higher (now),” he said.
The US has about 2,500 troops in Iraq and hundreds of Syria. These personnel can be vulnerable to attacks from Iran-backed militarys in Shia – with past rockets and troops to Iranic missiles.
Another Risk Tad-On should think that the US can fail to eliminate Fordlow, the Iranian nuclear facility buried half a kilometer under a mountain.
Fordlow is one of the two main facilities of Uran and US and Israel’s development of the dismissal key to dismissal. Iran says the program for civilian purposes.
Demolishing in the subterranean facility may include withdrawal of the US 30,000-thousand “Bunker Buster” Bomb from stealth bombs.
But the mission can be solid in danger – and can fail.
If so, fordow is likely to “remain challenging for sowing efforts”, Heather Williams, director of nuclear issues of strategic study strategies
Iran can also register and are more determined to hide a nuclear weapon program. Republic develops uranium at the level near grade of weapons.
“Any further damage can be returned it may have been in years, but it does not prevent them from changing or maintaining a program to get nuclear weapons,” Kendall said.
Iran can also strike the economic impact by targeting energy supplies from the Gulf.
In 2019, weaknesses were exposed if a missile and drone attack blamed by Iran temporarily knocked in half of the crude output in Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states in recent years engaged in an Iranian détente, trying to reduce tensions and prevent many strikes.
In the tight Hormuz, Iran can use raiding ships of rapid attacks, submarines and anti-shiped ships of land to hit sailing ships, Kendall said. Alternatively, this can be done in the waterway.
But Iran also used rigidly for one’s own export of oil, the significant source of foreign currency. That could reduce the risk of Tehran target tight, but ships can still “weaken”, Kendall added.
Since October 7 2023 attacks on Israel’s Hamas, Iranian Houthis of Yemen has already damaged sea and Gulf traffic to Aden, despite the months of US targeting in the US target.
Helima Croft, a former CIA teacher and Global Head of Force Markets at RBC, which he worries in the degradation of Iraq, producing 4mn barrels of oil in a day. The infrastructure of Basra threatened by the militias “Iranian-backed ones near facilities”, he told the Atlantic Council Global Energy Forum last Wednesday.
Other experts say that they think of Israel’s bombing, killing many military commanders in Iran and destroyed the Misily launchers and plants, having sufficiently weakened the ability of the Misender in the US.
Israel has destroyed most of Iran’s air defenses in recent days and has almost Total air dominance over the Republic, which could help persuade the us to strike.
The main proxy of Iran Lebanese Milder Hizbollah, also severely weakened after Israel launched a series of undergoing group attacks last year.
There are “major disadvantages” in Iran using missiles and drones to revenge, Erik Raven said, former under-secretary in the US Navy.
“Their stockpiles quit (and) American defense systems are very capable,” he added. “There is no chance that this attack has achieved their political goals. The calculation is all danger, no reward.”
Brett McGurk, White House Co-ordinator for the Middle East under Joe Biden, said the US plans and trains for a potential Fordw Mission for “10 or 15 years”.
The plans have been refined over the last two-year presidency of Biden, he said, and “the window of ability for a military choice is now open”.
