The BBC’s contents of wins and potential losses

US President Donald Trump Arrives in Asia for a Whirlwind Week of diplomacy, which includes a much-anticipated meeting with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping.

Top of the agenda between the two will be trade – an area where tensions between the world’s two largest economies have ramped up.

Trump lands in the Capital of Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, as a summit for the cooperation of the countries of Timeo Stepast, or ASEAN, began on Sunday. He will then visit Japan and finally South Korea, where the White House said he will meet xi.

So what are the expected wins and other leaders, and what are the pitfalls?

Our letters explain what you need to know about the week ahead.

By Anthony Zurcher, North America Cellerencen

Inking new trade deals that provide opportunities for American businesses while keeping tariff revenue flowing to the US Treasury is a central trip.

While there are many players in the global trade dance, the key to Trump’s success or failure is China. And Trump’s scheduled meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the sidelines of APEC – the first since 2019 – could set the course for US-China relations in Trump’s second term.

As the President of the United States has acknowledged, the Drieconian tariffs on Chinese imports will not be stopped. And while he has not said clearly, the increasing economic conflict with America’s largest trading partner has disastrous consequences – for the US and for the rest of the world.

The steep tumbles in the main US stock indexes every time China and the US show an impastogulo this reality.

When he goes to America next week, Trump is sure to be happy if he can close the deal with South Korea on US manufacturing.

But his first priority is certainly to convince that the purchases of American exports by Chinese companies to the Chinese

For Trump, as the saying goes, that’s the whole ballgame.

By Laura Bicker, CHINA CHECIESTENTE

When Chinese leader Xi Jinping met Trump on 30 October in South Korea, he wanted to be more negotiator.

That’s why he increased China’s destruction of rare earths, minerals that you can’t make semiconductors, weapon systems, smartphones. This is a weakness in the US, and China is taking advantage of it – like hurting American farmers, and Trump’s rural base, by not buying their soybeans.

Xi also learned the lessons from Trump 1.0 And this time, Beijing, it appears, is willing to accept the pain of tariffs. For one, the US, which once took fifth place in Chinese exports, is no longer an important market.

Yet Xi has a balance to strike, between an economic battle with the US, and his struggle with domestic challenges. And Washington knows the troubles of XI: The High Youth of Youth, a real estate crisis, which increases the local government debt and a population that does not want to spend.

Analysts believe China will offer a deal if Trump agrees to start exporting advanced AI chips or withdraw massive military support for Taiwan.

But getting there is not easy. A big difference is that this Trump is always willing to roll a dice and gamble – but XI plays a much higher game.

So the question becomes: Will it wait?

By Jonathan Head, South East Asia Celleart

The US President is interested in one thing during his visit to Malaysia: To play the role of star in a ceremony prepared for him, where Thailand and Cambodia will sign a kind of peace.

The differences between the two countries on their border remain unresolved, but, under pressure to have something, they are progressing to agree to agree to agree to agree to agree to agree to the border.

Nor can President Trump fail. Back in July, when they were still bombarding and changing each other, his threat to end titiff talks forced them to an immediate halt.

Some ASEAN Member states will hope for Trump’s presence, brief though it may be, to normalize relations with the US.

They had a tumultuous year in which their export-dependent economies were decimated by his tariff war. Exports from the region to the US have doubled since Trump’s last visit to the ASEAN Summit in 2017.

Once Trump leaves, the other leaders can settle down to normal business – the quiet, extra diplomacy that has been developing as development progresses between them.

Also on the agenda is a conflict that does not have Trump’s attention – the civil war in Myanmar, which has stopped every ASEAN gathering since it was triggered by a brutal kudu in 2021.

By Suranjana Tewari, Asia Business Cellusten

Asian manufacturing powerhouses, which make up most of the world’s output, will be looking for a break from Trump’s tariffs.

Some have agreed deals, while others are still locked in talks – but no one has signed an agreement.

So ink on paper, or at least word promises, will be accepted.

Take China. The meeting between the progress of the signals of Trump and XI, but the two leaders have many that cannot be counted, from the controls of the Levies and exports between the two largest economies in the world as they compete on an edge in an edge in an edge in AI and advanced tech.

Any easing of tensions will bring relief to other countries in the region that are caught in the middle. South East Asia may be the most confined – it is deeply entrenched in the US supply of electronics at the request of China.

US exports have doubled in the past decade, but tariffs of 10% to 40% pummel manufacturers in Vietnam, Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand.

It could also harm US chipmakers such as Micron’s technology, which operates plants in Malaysia. The country exported $10bn worth of semiconductors to the US last year, roughly one-fifth of the total copy of US chip imports.

Rich economies like Japan and South Korea face a different dilemma.

Although close allies of the US, they are for an undisguised time – and want to lock in the terms and investments of the Tariff. Automakers in both countries, which see the US as a key market, are already struggling to navigate the turmoil.

By Shaimaaa Khalil, Japan Gamit

Trump described Japan’s new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, as a woman of great “strength and intelligence”.

This week, his ability to make a strong, relational self is an early test of his leadership – and Japan’s place in a shifting world order.

In his first speech to Parliament, he promised to stabilize Japan’s defense budget, signaling his intention to further address Washington’s security concerns.

Trump has said this before and is expected to continue Tokyo to contribute to the deployment of American troops abroad, about 53,000 personnel.

The two sides also want to finalize a Tariff deal shared with his predecessor.

Particularly beneficial to Japan’s auto giants – Toyota, Honda and Nissan – cut Japanese import duties from 27%, potentially making them more competitive against Chinese rivals.

By keeping Ryosei Akazawa as chief Tariff negotiator, Takaichi is betting on continuity.

In return, Japan promised to invest $550bn in the US to strengthen ties in Pharmaceuticals and Semiconductors.

Trump also said Japan would increase purchases of US farm products, including rice, a move that Washington welcomed but did not deter Japanese farmers.

Takaichi’s relationship with late former PM Shinzo Abe, who shares a close relationship with Trump, could also work in his favor.

Abe famously used rounds of golf at Mar-a-Lugo to gain Trump’s trust — it’s the kind of personal diplomacy Takaichi might aspire to emulate.

By jake kwon, seoul letter

For South Korean President Lee Jae Myung, the pressing issue is Trump’s tariffs.

But the thunder was briefly stolen by widespread speculation that Trump might visit the border to see North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

Back in August, Lee dedicated most of his time in the Oval Office to flattering Trump as a “fingers crossed”. Trump responded with enthusiasm at the prospect of sitting down with Kim, whom he has not seen since 2019. Kim said last month that he still remembers Trump “.

Analysts believe Kim hopes to legitimize his nuclear weapons program at another summit with the US president. There is no indication that a meeting is in the works.

Either way, Lee has a trade deal to negotiate. Talks of lowering US duties on South Korean Exports from 25% to 15% have come as a surprise, despite several trips to Seoul by Washington officials. The sticking insult is Trump’s insistence that Seoul invests $ 350bn against the US – in the fifth economy of South Korea, a large financial investment, the fear of Seoul.

But in recent days, Korean officials have expressed hope, citing perceived progress. And hope for a signed agreement at the end of the Summit on Wednesday between Trump and Lee.