Last week, after a long telephone call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump after the US Ukrainian discussion in Jedda last week, the war in Ukraine appears to be entering the final phase.
Both Moscow and Kiev appear to agree on the pursuit of peace settlement, though the details of their positions about their specifics have been unclear.
Kiev has agreed to Washington’s proposal after a 30 -day unconditional war, and after the peace discussion. Ukraine did not want to freeze the conflict before the peace discussion, but more territory, infrastructure, human life and most likely to lose American support.
Russia has agreed to suspend the missile attacks for 30 days on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, while continuing discussions for the entire war. Earlier, Moscow not only guaranteed the logistics and violations of the war period, but also expressed concern about what happens later.
Be careful that Russia has the advantage of Rattfield, which is not very keen to lose before putting the settlement frame in stone. In any case, after the Trump-Putin call, the Russian authorities very much stimulated about the potential for settlement.
If the war negotiations are moving forward, the question arising is that when Putin started all the cruel attacks on Ukraine on February 7, is he likely to get all he wanted?
The fierce framework of the realistic peace peace settlement is clear to all sides so far. Moscow has repeatedly stated that the peace agreement is that the Spring in 2022 was followed by the outline of the Istanbul agreement developed by the Russian and Ukrainian representatives, but eventually Ukraine was removed under British and American pressure.
These agreements have an idea of Ukraine’s military neutral, a hat of the military and measures to protect Russian Russian Russian living in Ukraine.
After a three -year war, Moscow now wants Kiev to identify the loss of four Ukrainian regions – Donestak, Luhank, Kherson and Zaporizia – but Russia has formally declared its territory, which has not yet been fully occupied. However, it is possible that the Kremlin will remove the maximum demand for Ukraine withdrawing from the base of these regions.
US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodamir Zelensky have indicated that regional discussions will include the future of the Zaporizia nuclear energy center, which is currently in Russia’s possession and is very close. If Russia becomes a part of that conversation, it would mean that it is no longer claimed by the northern and extension of the Zaporizia – the other three areas.
Discussions on the nuclear project are a good sign because they are putting pressure for the United Kingdom and France. They show changes to the reality of the reality that can be removed from the West and Ukraine Russia as opposed to the completely unrealistic demands of the NATO boots in the dress of “peace of peace”.
The key to understanding Putin’s logic is acknowledging that he does not fight for the region. Ukraine has now been seized by Ukraine’s fifth part of Ukraine, which is falling from Ukraine to Ukraine, which is falling from the Minsk agreement of 1-201-8. Kharan and Zaporizia, along with the two territories of Russia, were sentenced to avoid Ukraine from the Istanbul agreement.
The nuclear power project can possibly be replaced by some other regions, or political concessions related to the Ukrainian Orthodox Church related to the Mudha-Russian speakers and Moscow, but for Putin, which is maintaining influence on security infrastructure or Ukrainian security organizations.
Rooted in the western decision Instead of interacting with the newly emerging Democratic Russia in the 1990s 1990s, this conflict is really about drawing a thick red line beyond whom the West of the American-leadership will not grow in the west of Russia until the conversation of the minimum of Russia is possible.
Currently, Putin will insist not only on the neutrality of Ukraine but also the “NATO Infrastructure”, which includes military training and logistical facilities. CIA listening station With the Russian border.
There will also be a demand for D-westernization of the CIA and MI6-related Ukrainian security structures, such as the Directorate of Chief Intelligence (HRH) and some of the SBUs of Ukraine’s Security Services (SBU).
Vaccably, Kiev and Nato promised to become a member of the Ukraine alliance, according to the promise of the NATO Bukhares Summit of NAT. The commitment of US President George W Bush imposed on European allies led to the teaching of the Russian foreign policy, which led to the struggle with Georgia and then Ukraine.
By justifying the signal arising out of Trump’s stewardship, all these goals have been achieved by the United States, at least, with approval against Russia. The Kremlin has indicated for its part that the western Russian property in the west can be used to re -emerge the post -war in Ukraine in Ukraine. This money looks like already lost, and it is probably thought that such a philanthropist gesture now helps to improve the relationship with the adverse neighborhood.
If he can get all this, Putin can see his decision to become a war criminal by launching a cruel aggression against the nearest neighbor of Russia in social, ethnic, cultural and economic terms.
In addition to securing the neutrality of Ukraine, NATO appears to be obliged to fulfill another goal in addition to pushing from the Russian border: Russia’s superpower status in terms of the world.
For Western leaders, the failure of Russia not to be restrained will make a disappointing awareness: that a large nuclear power capable of destroying humanity cannot be defeated by the military. They can then consider the fact that Moscow’s soft power can have a very effective impact – West achieved great success during the cold war.
Russia will always rely on Europe culturally and economically. Although it does not matter what the community thinks about Russia itself, it will continue to consider itself a part of the European community. This creates more strategic opportunities in the west to reduce the threats from Moscow rather than engage in Western officials in Ukraine.
The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and it is not necessary to reflect al -Jazir’s editorial role.