Nothing has been achieved rather than harming the attacks on Iran, Israel-Iran conflict


After the direct attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities, US President Donald Trump quickly announced the victory. Their administration claimed that “the world is very safe” after “the bombing campaign destroyed the ability to produce Iran’s nuclear weapons.”

But after the end, a lot of discussions have been made about how much Iranian nuclear program really returned. As the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Groosi pointed out that Crater revealed a little about what he lived deep under the layers of concrete. The Trump administration acknowledged that at least one site was not targeted with a bunker-bottling bomb because it was very deep underground. The fate of Iran’s centrifuges and 60 %-rich uranium reserves are unknown.

The amount of damage to the Iranian nuclear program has been unclear, but the non -proplex system that has been transparent for years has left the tattors.

Instead of preventing nuclear spread, military action has made this short outlook not only the Middle East but also the whole world a more dangerous place.

A well -equipped nuclear program

Until this month’s attack, Iran’s nuclear program remained quiet.

Those Were launched With the help of a quiet initiative of American atoms in the 50s of the 50s. In the next decades, it was expanded to include many nuclear facilities.

Among them are Arak heavy water reactor, which is now non -operative; The Tehran Research reactor, a establishment created with the US help in 1976 and used for medical concentrated production; Uranium conversion and fuel fabrication complex in Isfahan; Natanz nuclear facility, which is the country’s main conservation site; Fordo underground plants near com; And the bush-nuclear project, which depends on the Russian-supplied fuel and is currently operating in Iran.

In addition, Iran Darkovin and Sirk Power Plant Projects – the other two nuclear installation – but they are in the early stages.

For many decades, the IAEA has been careful about all matters of the Iranian nuclear program. In 68 6868, this country-based agreement (NPT) was signed, and legally promised to abandon its nuclear weapons and keep all nuclear content under IAEA Safguards.

In 1974, Iran signed a comprehensive Safargard’s agreement and declared 18 nuclear facilities and exterior facilities (LOF) that nuclear content was used. These include the site of the hospital using prosperous plants, research nuclear kilns, conversion and fuel fabrication facilities, laboratory and radiosotop.

Sometimes, especially after the previous secret sites were revealed in the 1st, the IAEA took more inadvertent verification measures and pressured Iran to implement additional protocols, this extended investigation agreement. The country voluntarily did this from 2003 to 2006.

In 2015, Iran signed a joint comprehensive plan (JCPOA) with the United States, United Kingdom, China, Russia, France and Germany. It accepted a rigorous limit on uranium prosperity and agreed to reduce uranium reserves in exchange for approval.

The IAEA was given more access to the Iran program than before and was allowed to install cameras and remote sensors on the nuclear site, allowing real-time monitoring. In this extended admission, there are all major sites of Iran’s nuclear program, with the United States recently attacked three facilities – Natanz, Fordo and Isfhan. If JCPOA was applicable, it was extremely effective.

Underlining nuclear diplomacy

In 2018, Trump decided to get out of the JCPOA in the first tenure of the presidential, and claimed that Iran was “according to the provisions received by Iran.”A lot in exchange for very low“The United States resumed approval, despite repeated calls for European allies to maintain this agreement and launched a” maximum pressure “campaign to disable the Iranian economy.

The consequences of Trump’s withdrawal were rapid. Deleting the benefits of the agreement, Iran began to reduce the contract. In 2020, after the Trump-Origcted airline Killed Iranian General Kasme Solemani, Tehran, announced that it would no longer be binding on any operation of the nuclear agreement.

Surprisingly, Trump’s actions have been negotiated with Iran so far More difficult. Under the second Trump administration, American officials tried to resume discussions with Iran and made several indirect discussions.

Iranian leaders guaranteed that the new contract would not be reduced or re -introduced again, and Washington showed a slight flexibility instead of even more tough demanding.

From Iran’s point of view, what was proposed rather than the JCPO was less friendly deal, and came from the country whose promises were incredible.

US-Israelie attacks everyone but killed attempts to revive negotiations. Within hours of the attacks, Iran made another round with the United States in Oman and ordered his negotiations at home.

Within a few days of the bombing, the Iranian Parliament began to create laws to release NPT. If Iran gets out of it, withdrawal can break the Cornerstone Agreement of World Weapon Control.

For half a century, NPT has limited the nuclear bomb to a handful of states. Iran will now be the most violation of this agreement from North Korea, which went away from NPT in 2003 and tested Separate weapon After four years.

Outside the NPT, Iran will no longer be built by any extent or inspection, which made the world dark about its activity. The opaque Iranian nuclear program will motivate other regional powers to do the same, with the restraint of decades.

Leaving NPT is not easy. This requires a three -month notice, a public argument, the constant responsibility of previous violations, and the transfer of all imported nuclear technology or continuous protection. These are the contract deposits and the United Nations Security Council is likely to return to the table for any quarterly pressure, assuming the remaining value on the table.

Iran has not yet announced that he is leaving NPT, but Parliament Approved laws To stop all of the IAEA’s cooperation. It is a clear sign that the possibility of the constant compliance of Iran’s constant compliance with polygamy diplomacy is slow.

Diplomatism is still the only way

Through the bombing facilities under the active IAEA Safegard, the United States effectively told each noncallier state that cooperation purchases less security.

The strike gave a dangerous example: a country that opened its site and faced military power in a country where there was a negotiation framework. If the states conclude that the NPT is not allowed to comply with and inspection, they may not protect them from attacks or forcibly, they may decide that developing nuclear prevention is the only reliable security guarantee. However, after explaining that nuclear weapons, we do not see the United States considering the nuclear facilities on North Korea’s nuclear facilities.

The unfortunate event was to achieve whatever temporary shock, which now reveals the strategic of the widespread non-proplexation system and regional stability.

The United States still has the opportunity to prevent the nuclear weapon race in the Middle East and the rest of the world. To do that, they need to double the diplomacy and face the deep mistrust he created.

The agreement must be signed, but for this, the American diplomat needs to go back to the realization in negotiations. Washington should give up the maximum demand for “zero conservation”. Weapons control experts noted that Iran insisted that Iran had no ability to conserve Unnecessary Nonrophymentation and also unrealistic. JCPOA has already proven that a tight limited conservation program connected with rigid maintenance can effectively prevent the way to move to the Iran’s bomb. The United States is ready to accept such a system in exchange for security promises and approval concessions.

For his part, Tehran has shown his desire to bring back the storage of a very rich uranium and cap conservation level, though he refuses to abandon the right to be fully enriched.

After all, diplomacy and sustainable international investment are the most effective tools for managing the risk of nuclear spread, not a dangerous one -sided action. Strike is a serious strategic error. To repair the loss, the hard work of diplomacy needs equally dramatic returns.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and it is not necessary to reflect al -Jazir’s editorial role.



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