German Conservative Leader Friedrich Merz spent the past two months recognizing the country’s social democrats, which could not prevent illegal migration and the rise to the upper right.
Now that they came out as only a possible coalition companions, he wanted to be friends again.
MerzWho is preparing to be Chandellor after his Democrats (CDU / CSU) won the federal election on Sunday, saying that a Government of SPD “is what we want”. He is now “determined to hold good, good, strong talk” at the party of Outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
Who are the main players and how easy talks are at the end?
Merz explained that he would “talk to the next few days” of the SPD, set his own purpose to sign an agreement with the “in the second half of April.
Her negotiation partner is SPD co-leader Lars Klingbeil, although Merz says he is also planning to meet with Scholz to ensure smooth power transfer. The advisers indicated that consultations occur to ensure that Scholz, to remain cendetaker chancellor, represents the views of the future leader overseas. An emergency EU Summit next week to discuss the European defense attending Scholz.
Both parties build joint work groups to draft a coalition agreement.
Both the SPD and conservatives seem intended to move fast. Klingbeil, 47, who is expected to be a new head in the SPD Parliamentary group, says his party stands “ready to talk” with Merz.
Klingbeil said he had organized his party quickly at the end of the election defeat from 1887. “The world is disturbed,” he said.
“We see what new American government has done or not. We don’t know which decisions can also be in the next few days about Ukraine and Germany,” Klingbeil, who is the party’s of foreign party activities of foreign party activities. “This is the task of German politics to make Europe strong in this historic period. And it requires a social democracy capable of moving.“
What are sticking points?
The CDU / CSU will focus on its economic agendas, involving tax cuts, wealth and regulation. The SPD will seek to continue to be established in social spending, including a plan to obtain a minimum pension level, Andreas Busch, professor of Göttingen University.
“One side should accept that others will have some successes,” he said. “You need a creative fudge.”
Another potential bone of conflict is migration. The subject is a source of friction during the campaign between Merz and Scholz when attempted at the first claim of asylum with the help of long-term Germany.
Parties can also fight how the funds grow defensive expenditure and infrastructure investment requirements, while following the restrictions of the public borrowing constitution.
The Henning Meyer, public public professor at Tübingen University near SPD, speaks a constitutional reform of debt-demand – one of the important government demands – is one of the important government agreements.
Item will be good even before talking on Coalition talks. Now this is clearly a CDU / CSU-SPD ti-up cannot hold a supermajority of Bundestag needed to pass constitutional changes, Merz introduced to the Monday that he explores Reboot the outgoing parliament In order to pass a constitutional change before installing the new legislature on March 25.
Another topic of discussion is to spend ministers. CDU indicates the desire to run the defense ministry. The SPD will have the Interior Ministry, which is where the name of the present defense Boris Prisculius is round. The CDU can maintain financial ministry, while SPD can be provided to the foreign ministry – with Klingbeil that can take that post.
Who has a strong hand?
COALITION talks can hit snags but none of the two parties with many leverages on the other.
“The CDU has become more powerful than SPD from the election, but SPD is the only appropriate coalition for CDU,” Busch said. “At least both parties agree with that quick movement is needed and both indicate a focus of delivery.”
They have an example of the poor coalition of scholz in vegetables and the liberal free democrats new to their mind.
That three-party government quickly went down to attacks the full Russian invasion of Ukraine, and ended before the term last year of the FDP minister, Cristian Lindner.
At this time round, there is a talk with a program that has changed every year, focusing on a handful of priority things.
SPD may decide to place the COALITION agreement with a member’s vote, which can add a layer of uncertainty, given the violent campaign led by SPD. Such a vote may take long in coalition talks for about two weeks, Moyer estimates.
How solid is this entertainment?
The tie-up between the largest German party will no longer be called a “Grand Coalition”, because SPD is transferred to the third place by a resolution far right and left. Their 52 percent most parts by comparing past iterations to this coalition structure.
The first of four called Grand Coalitions, led by CDU leader Kurt Georg Kiender, first of the 2005 2005 governments most of the most of the SPD in 2005, in 2018, depends on 56 percent in seats.
However, both parties can be increased by fear of being more exposed to the AFD and the left late Linke.
“It can still be our last moment” to regain trust in voters, Merz said on Monday.
“I know it’s hard… But I count on SPD to find it easy to need,” he added. “If we do not succeed in this term of Parliamentary, then we do not talk about another normal change in Germany’s government in 2029.” “
Data Visualization by Martin Sudyo
