Return to two Europes


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“Europe has to handle self defense,” says the new Geopolitical Cliché, but that doesn’t think. “Europe” consists of countries whose interests are different unknown without depending on their distance from Russia. Donald Trump’s turn in Moscow restores the Geography of the Cold War. We have seen the return of “Eastern Europe” and “Western Europe”.

Two geographies in Europe. Remove the exiled writer of the Czech Milan Kundera in 1983 essay “in the western kidnapping”. At the time, satellite satellite Poland, Hungary and Czechoslovakia mean “Eastern Europe”. Indeed, Kundera said, they were “central Europe” – about the west until unlucky “in the Red Army” they were 1945.

“What is the center of Europe?” Kundera asked. “An uncertain zone of small countries between Russia and Germany.” And what is a “small country”? “One whose availability can be asked at any time; a small country will disappear, and it knows it.”

The small countries of Central Europe include “Eastern Europe” in 1945. After 1989, when Communism was dropped, they were together “Europe”. In 1999, Hungary, Poland and Czech Republic entered happened And got a Geographical Upgrade: They joined the Transatlanticic West, from San Francisco to Warsaw.

Last week, Trump seems to be melted in the west. “It began to look like the end of NATO,” says Steven Everts, running the European Union Institute for security studies. The article in NATO 5 has committed member states to protect any member attacked. The most likely attack location is Baltics. Asked by a reviewer about the eastern eastern firnk, Trump said, “I’m very relying on the Pulbel. “Asked by the next part of the Baltics, he went around to make a commitment.

Where is Poland located? They may not be in a military entity called “Europe”. After all, the Ephiles used to be lost and killed for Eastern Europe – not for the Eastern Europe, and they lived in Eastern Europe, and they lived in Eastern Europe, and they live in Eastern Europe And they lived in Eastern Europe, and they lived in Eastern Europe, and they lived in Eastern Europe, and they lived in Eastern Europe, and they lived in Eastern Europe, and they lived good if Putin. That means that the idea of ​​”European defense” is like an insurance method for people living in a storm in a hurricane, where people expect to pay the zone.

One senior French official told me that Putin’s aggression, even though it was easy, not the French problem. “We have our nuclear umbrella,” he shrugged. Putin could attack France or Britain, but it was not avoided his weak army and the historical limitations of the “nearby area of ​​Russia”, this influence. Southern Europe is the most secure. Sunday before Russia’s advancement in 2022, I sat on the day at a madrid lake, among lunch families, and learned Russian problems.

Germany is not very safe. Putin may not catch it too, but because Germany does not have nukes, he can try nuclear blackmail. Germans and other Europeans have now asked about sharing the Umbrella in France nuclear. To expose it to a better form of blackmail, as France gets a lot in return. But France is certainly unable to extend its umbrella with crooks – nations are likely to need it, but only as little as it is offered. France is not dangerous to nuclear war in Russia for Lithuania.

Suddenly Eastern Europe came out again, with Finland and Sweden tapped by the old bloc in the Soviet. These countries build their militaries rapidly. Even many additional GDP points in defense are not balanced against the risk of invasion of Russia.

A study of the Chonconi University’s Catherine de Verman Hofmann of the European University Institute shows that nearer countries are endorting the statement, “

I doubt Europeans find money to fund Ukraine. We can use Putin. But his edge is his willingness to shed blood in Russia. Good societies appreciate their citizens’ lives, but that is a warfare. The chance of death costs is higher than Europe today, which 20-year-old expected to survive in the past 80. If European troops sent to Vilnius, the pro-Putinist Far-Polint Far-Party Party ask “

I put it in a European European major politician who does not care for western European states about wars in Eastern Europe. He replied, “We know. So some of our nations asked, ‘Why don’t we attack Russia right now, instead of sitting waiting for us to attack it?’ “Small countries to lose everything in all.

Email SIMON SA Simon.kuper@ft.com

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