Are planes to crash regularly?

After a series of high-profile disasters, some social media users suggest that air travel accidents have become more frequent.

Hairstyle videos close to misses began to withdraw online and the US Transport Secretary Sean Duffy trying to calm the fear of BBC conversation. He told the viewers that the recent spate of America’s air disasters are “very rare”.

Duffy’s intervention came after many serious incidents, including a half air collision in January between a commercial airliner and a military helicopter In Washington DC, where 67 people died.

The footage of a plane flipping in bad weather during Toronto, Canada, is widely shared online, further alarming.

And while the polling of the subject is limited, a new survey of Associated Press Survey suggests that these shocked images of accidents have have an effect on trust in some US consumers to fly.

But BBC verification is analyzing US data and all over the world and knows that in the last two decades have a total drop in air accidents.

For the US, numbers of air accidents gathered at the National Transportation Board (NTSB) until the end of January this year.

This NTSB data shows a total of falling in US air air accidents from 2005 to 2024 despite a significant increase in total number of flights at this time. It also shows that the number for January 2025 (52), is lower than January last year (58) and January 2023 (70).

Data from the International Civil Aviation Organiation (ICAO), a single body monitoring the world’s air incidents, showing that the number of accidents around the world also found a clear -Enter to withdraw in 2005 and 2023.

The ICAO definition of an aircraft accident is wider and not only including people where passengers or people are injured or die, but also need to recover, or lose.

The data in the number of deaths in the world’s air accidents also appears to have a reduction at the same time, even with spikes for several years showing major air disasters.

In 2014, two such events contribute to an important spike.

In that March, the Malaysian Airlines MH370 is lost while traveling from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing with 239 people riding. In July, another Malaysian Airlines plane, MH17, shot by a Russian-made missile in eastern Ukraine, killing almost 300.

Data sets like this want to see suddenly, big change, prof Sir David Spiegalter, professor of Cambridge statistics, told VBC.

“If you consider fatalities instead of accidents it’s easier to annoy and sensitive to a big accident,” he said.

“Random events never occur – they are more cluster. Thus can never expect plane accidents to appear connected, even if they don’t.”

About series of high profile accidents in the last few months, Ismo Aaltonen, the leading investigator of the Air Vilnel, told the BBC that they were not an indication of aircraft safety in a reduction in aircraft safety to a reduced safety of aircraft.

“It is very sorry we have this time in many different types of accidents, but people do not have to carry any conclusions

He explained that some incidents last few months were unreal, cittering a flight of Azerbaijan falling in Kazakhstan after tained in a Russian anti-plane missile.

Marco Chan, a former Pilot and Senior Lecturer and Buckinghamshire New University, Told BBC Verify that the rise in awareness of air disasters is being further fueled because “accidents are getting increasing exposure from social media platforms”.

A video circulating on the Gultok – pulled from a Superman Film – showing the hero who prevents a jet from a stadium. The clip is with the caption: “Pete buttigieg every day in the last four years, leading to current events.” The Virus Clip suggested that disasters of the aviation grow since the departure of US transport secretary in the US in January.

A string of incidents in recent years involving Boeing 737 Max Aircraft also attracts significant media attention and social media, especially after a The door wipes the middle of the flight on January 2024.

The concerns of that and many other incidents have seen some customers boongcott airplanes made by Boeing and collapse of the company’s part.

Experts say verifying incidents such as these and major crashes checked by authorities. New details and data from accidents are fed with pilot training simulators so they can prepare for the same future situations.

“If you look at the simulators now, how advances they are, they are like a real plane,” as ismo aaltonen. “It’s very different when I started flying over 40 years ago.”

Regulators can also impose penalties for safety violations that include penalties, licensing suspensions and operating restrictions. Airplanes can also be forbidden from countries and blokes if they do not obey safety standards.

Despite the new spates of incidents, air travel remains more secure form of travel.

With all of the transportation related to 2022 in the US, over 95% occurred in the road, according to the latest available number from the US Department of Transportation. Less than 1% related air travel.

And if you look at the numbers in terms of deaths per distance traveling, the comparative safety of air travel is more obvious.

In 2022, there were 0.001 passengers per 100,000,000 miles of planes, compared to passenger vehicles from the national safety council, an organization out of the US based.

“Be careful how you make your airport trip” Mr. Aaltonen said. “That’s the most dangerous part of the trip versus actual flight.”