US Federal Reserve Jerom Powell Senate Bank, “Report on Half Year Monetary Policy” in Congress, 11, 2025 in Washington.
Craig Hudson | Reuters
Federal reserve officials are expected to hold interest rates on this week, but they may have their views on the economy and the future of interest rates.
If the market price is correct, random politicians of the central bank, from their principal interest rate, from 4.25% to 4.5% from their principal interest rate. Bench Jerome Powell Colleagues in recent weeks supported the patient’s way, they do not need to switch to each other.
However, they are also expected to think about where things taken from them President Donald TrumpTrade and industry policy. This is waiting to lower interest rates at all for inflation and economic growth from inflation in inflation.
“It is not on Wednesday, so all other things began to become important in the North American,” said a senior economist in North America. “They are mainly saying,” You know what we know, we are rushing now. “
Indeed, it was a message from Powell and his open open market corporate colleagues. Into Rule this month Powell to economists in New York as having no need to “hurry” the central bankers seek where the Trump administration is “big”.
New forecast for GDP, inflation, unemployment
Then, most of the updated gases, the federations are based on quarterly interest rates, gross domestic product, unemployment and inflation. Based on the latest data, Fed can increase the forecast for 2025 for inflation (in December, 2.5%, both on the topic, topics), when reducing the projection of GDP (2.1%). Has a regular meeting of the usual meeting news of Powell.
According to a question, the Federal Committee for the Open Market uses the “dotted section” of their own members.
There are disagreements that what can happen there. The Committee may add two to December, remove one or both of them as a statement as a statement as a statement as possible. Seems to be on the table.
“I think it can be one or a zero cut, especially the rates,” said the north. “I think they want to pass the economy and provide guarantees by cutting tariffs, because they suffocate inflation, they will return to return and start again.”
Economists are concerned Trump Tariffs If the President can restore inflation on April 2 after the issuance of the tariff situation on April 2.
Investors have the right to worry about FomC’s direction, according to FOMC, Distrolez businessman, Global FX and Macquarie bets.
“On suspicion of this worries, Freed Fed rises on suspicion of” non-responsible “, which refused to control macroeconomic policy to the administration of the Trump,” Wizman said. “Taking into account the current uncertainty and the expected inflation, it can be cut more than two more rates, or more may be more than or more. Can push one bet until 2026 and leave one piece for 2026. “
Markets still see two or three cuts
If you stick with two pieces, it may be not only to be added to market turbulence, maybe, maybe it’s possible not to join market turbulence, maybe David Kermicclik.
The main resources of the environment Correction goes around Area or 10% decreases from high level.
In the past, under The idea of ”Fed Put” The markets came from central bank to facilitate the policy in response to market excitement. Trading sellers do not expect the initial rapid reduction, at least until June and with an additional quarterly interest rate and the third step by the end of the year until the end of the year. Fedwatch Futures price.
But it can even be ambitious, he said.
“In fact, those who are afraid of the markets and confidence in his worldview, so they do not meet the FOMC meeting just as Powell’s press conference,” he used the nickname of Powell.
The committee can also resolve its “digital freezing” program, where the marketplays will complete the program at the end of this year and at the last meetings of the central bank at 6.4 trillion.
